Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2527
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2527 · ATL → EWR
departs 8:49 PM ET · arrives 11:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.