DL 2578 · DTW → AUS

departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM CT

Your aircraft is N324NB (A319), coming in as DL 2443 from JFK: landed 6:20 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2578 · DTW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?