DL 2614 · MSP → BOS

departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 11:55 PM ET

Your aircraft is N318DX (A321), coming in as DL 2654 from ATL: landed 7:07 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2614 · MSP → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?