DL 2703 · MSP → PHL

took off 9:03 PM CT · expected to land 12:09 AM ET (scheduled 8:25 PM CT → 11:56 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

70% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,343 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2703 · MSP → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?