Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 2992 · MIA → RDU
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 7:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.