DL 325 · ATL → DCA

left the gate 8:01 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 8:00 PM ET → 9:46 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N336NW (A320), coming in as DL 2184 from LEX: landed 12:56 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 325 · ATL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?