Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 689 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Friday, October 30

DL 689 · PIT → MSP

took off 6:42 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:42 PM ET → 7:57 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from PIT are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,343 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 689 · PIT → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?