DL 90 · MCO → AMS

departs 8:14 PM ET · arrives 10:00 AM CET

Your aircraft is N407DX (A339), coming in as DL 91 from AMS: landed 5:31 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 90 · MCO → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?