Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 90 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 90 · MCO → AMS

departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 10:32 AM CET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.36 in

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 90 · MCO → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?