Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G7 4462 · EWR → DCA
departs 8:18 PM ET · arrives 9:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
8pm departures from EWR are often late
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.