Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3705
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
MQ 3705 · DFW → ABI
departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 8:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ABI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABI?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ABI that day
↑
7pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ABI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,667 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
ABI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 267 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.