Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3057
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3057 · SNA → STS
departs 4:10 PM PT · arrives 5:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from SNA are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at STS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
STS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.