Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3902
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3902 · RNO → LAX
departs 3:13 PM PT · arrives 4:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.