Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3902
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 3902 · RNO → LAX
departs 3:13 PM PT · arrives 4:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.