Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5092
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5092 · IAH → VCT
departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 19%
Wed 11/4 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at VCT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VCT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
VCT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
VCT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8.66667 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.