Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5092
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5092 · IAH → VCT
departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 19%
Wed 11/4 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at VCT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VCT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
VCT usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at VCT that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
VCT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.