Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5398
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5398 · LAX → MRY
departs 6:48 PM PT · arrives 8:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
MRY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.