Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 6424 · LAX → PDX
departs 8:10 PM PT · arrives 10:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.