Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 6424 · LAX → PDX
departs 8:10 PM PT · arrives 10:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.