Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2038 · ANC → DLG
departs 11:52 AM AKT · arrives 1:17 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DLG more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DLG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DLG?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 633 ft forecast at DLG that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
11am departures from ANC are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into DLG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.27 in
DLG (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 633 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.