Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2038 · ANC → DLG
departs 11:53 AM AKT · arrives 1:20 PM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DLG more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DLG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DLG?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 0 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DLG that day
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into DLG at that hour are usually not late
↓
11am departures from ANC are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
DLG (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 0 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.