QX 2038 · ANC → DLG

took off 12:21 PM AKT · landed 1:21 PM AKT (scheduled 11:50 AM AKT → 1:17 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DLG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DLG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DLG that day

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into DLG at that hour are usually not late

↓ 11am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DLG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2038 · ANC → DLG

Odds over time

How late did it get to DLG?