Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2132
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2132 · EUG → SAN
departs 6:59 AM PT · arrives 9:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28 12%
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EUG
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↓
6am departures from EUG are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.