Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1251 SCHEDULED
Tomorrow

UA 1251 · ORD → MSN

departs 10:09 PM CT · arrives 11:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±1 pts −16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 7.0d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.