Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1251SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1251 · ORD → MSN
departs 9:27 PM CT · arrives 10:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
44%chance · ±3 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.