Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1326 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 1326 · AUS → IAH

departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 6:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling933 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.23 in

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1326 · AUS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?