UA 2064 · DEN → MIA

took off 4:42 PM MT · expected to land 10:07 PM ET (scheduled 3:55 PM MT → 9:48 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

LIVE

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
40%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2064 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?