UA 725 · DEN → SNA

departs 8:32 PM MT · arrives 10:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Arrivals into SNA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 725 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?