WN 1085 · SFO → SAN

departs 2:36 PM PT · arrives 4:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 48% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1085 · SFO → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?