WN 1322 · DCA → MCI

took off 7:54 PM ET · expected to land 9:05 PM CT (scheduled 7:35 PM ET → 9:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DCA that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1322 · DCA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?