WN 1770 · DCA → AUS

departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 767 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1770 · DCA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?