Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2111 · HOU → PHX
departs 3:01 PM CT · arrives 3:46 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 31%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 38%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.