Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2134 · HOU → TPA
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 6:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 42%
Wed 11/4 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.