WN 370 · AUS → MCO

departs 5:43 PM CT · arrives 9:16 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8683D (B738).

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 370 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?