Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 370
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 370 · AUS → MCO
departs 6:46 PM CT · arrives 10:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 43%
Thu 11/5 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.