WN 4610 · LAS → RNO

departs 5:49 PM PT · arrives 7:16 PM PT

Your aircraft is N910WN (B737), coming in as WN 2499 from RNO: landed 6:10 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

RNO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4610 · LAS → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?