WN 4845 · LGA → MDW

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4845 · LGA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?