Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 880
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 880 · HOU → SJD
departs 8:56 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM MST
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 9%
Sun 11/1 10%
Mon 11/2 10%
Tue 11/3 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SJD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJD?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD
↑
This route's recent record
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SJD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SJD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.