Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 941 · MCI → RSW
departs 4:27 PM CT · arrives 8:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.11 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.