Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 941 · MCI → RSW
departs 1:49 PM CT · arrives 5:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.