Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1037 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

AA 1037 · CLT → TPA

departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 2:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1037 · CLT → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?