tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1159 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1159 · ORD → MIA

departs 7:01 PM CT · arrives 11:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
43% chance · ±4 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.