tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1187 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1187 · ORD → DCA

departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 9:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.