Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1471
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 1471 · SEA → MIA
departs 8:55 PM PT · arrives 4:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to MIA?
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On time or early
80%
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15–30 min late
<1%
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30 min–1 hour late
11%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.