Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1644 LANDED 12:18 AM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

AA 1644 · CLT → BNA

took off 12:27 AM ET · landed 12:18 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1644 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time