Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2206 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 2206 · DFW → MIA

departs 7:25 PM CT · arrives 11:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

MIA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2206 · DFW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?