Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3149 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 3149 · DFW → MSP

departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 10:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

MSP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3149 · DFW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?