Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3179 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 3179 · DFW → HSV

departs 8:36 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

HSV (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3179 · DFW → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?