Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3179 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 3179 · DFW → HSV

departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3179 · DFW → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?