Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1026 · MSP → ATL
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 9:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.